XJEC(000400) 国海证券·2025-04-15 08:35Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10]. Core Views - The company is continuously strengthening its business focus and is expected to benefit from the high demand in the ultra-high voltage industry [1]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 17.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.12 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11% [4]. - The company is positioned as a leading supplier in the direct current equipment sector, with significant growth potential due to the increasing demand in the industry [9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 171 billion yuan, with a net profit of 11.2 billion yuan, and a gross profit margin of 20.8%, which is an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - For Q4 2024, the revenue was 75.0 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 17% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 173% [4]. - In Q1 2025, the revenue was 23.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16%, while the net profit was 2.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 12% year-on-year [5]. Business Segment Performance - The company has reduced low-margin integrated business and achieved rapid growth in direct current business, with direct current transmission system revenue increasing by 102% year-on-year [6]. - The intelligent distribution system generated revenue of 47.1 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 24.3%, while the intelligent meter segment reported revenue of 38.7 billion yuan [6]. - The company is expected to benefit from the anticipated approval of five ultra-high voltage direct current projects in 2025, which will drive demand for direct current equipment [6]. Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 18.3 billion yuan, 20.0 billion yuan, and 22.1 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 7%, 9%, and 10% [9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.45 billion yuan, 1.77 billion yuan, and 2.13 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 30%, 21%, and 20% respectively [9]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 16x for 2025, 13x for 2026, and 11x for 2027 [9].