Investment Rating - The investment rating for Junduoli Technology (001311.SZ) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the analysis suggests a positive outlook for the company's integrated die-casting business and customer structure optimization [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.59 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million yuan, down 14.4% year-on-year [2][4]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.1 billion yuan, a decline of 5.3% year-on-year, with a net profit of 80 million yuan, down 24.1% year-on-year [2][4]. - The decline in performance is attributed to terminal fluctuations and increased costs, including asset depreciation and impairment provisions [4]. - The company is positioned to ramp up its integrated die-casting production, having established multiple large-scale production lines and secured several customer orders, with expectations for significant contributions to performance starting in the second half of 2025 [4][5]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 4.77 billion yuan, 5.68 billion yuan, and 6.54 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of 580 million yuan, 700 million yuan, and 820 million yuan for the same years [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the total revenue was 3.59 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -8.2% [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 420 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 14.4% [5]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 21.08%, down 2.13 percentage points from the previous year [4][5]. Business Outlook - The integrated die-casting business is expected to enter a phase of large-scale production starting in the second half of 2025, following a period of investment and business development [4]. - The company has established a strong customer base, including major clients such as NIO, Leap Motor, and Li Auto, and has accumulated experience in advanced equipment, product yield, cost control, and process design [4]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for 2025-2027 indicates a revenue growth trajectory with expected revenues of 4.77 billion yuan, 5.68 billion yuan, and 6.54 billion yuan, respectively [5]. - Corresponding net profits are projected to be 580 million yuan, 700 million yuan, and 820 million yuan for the same years, with price-to-earnings ratios of 10, 9, and 7 times [4][5].
多利科技：24年大客户承压+费用影响业绩，一体化压铸放量在即-20250416