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华鲁恒升:年报点评:盈利基本盘扎实,新材料项目贡献增长-20250416

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 22.11 CNY based on a projected EPS of 2.01, 2.16, and 2.41 CNY for 2025-2027 respectively [4][7]. Core Views - The company's main products are still experiencing a bottoming out in market conditions, but the profitability is supported by the fertilizer and new materials segments, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue growth [11]. - The company achieved a revenue of 34.226 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.6%, and a net profit of 3.903 billion CNY, up 9.1% year-on-year [11]. - The report highlights that the chemical industry is currently at a low point in the economic cycle, but the company is leveraging its advantages in product offerings to improve performance [11]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 27.26 billion CNY in 2023, 34.226 billion CNY in 2024, and expected growth to 35.96 billion CNY in 2025, 40.608 billion CNY in 2026, and 41.734 billion CNY in 2027 [6]. - The company's gross profit margin is projected to improve from 18.7% in 2024 to 21.3% in 2025, while the net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 11.9% in 2025 [6]. - The report indicates a significant decrease in operating profit in 2023, down 41.8% year-on-year, but forecasts a recovery with a projected increase of 18.6% in 2025 [6].