NANYA NEW MATERIAL(688519) 平安证券·2025-04-17 07:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a current stock price of 33.32 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company has shown consistent growth in high-end product sales, leading to improved operating performance each quarter. In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.362 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.7%, and a net profit of 50 million yuan, up 138.86% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue reached 952 million yuan, a 45.04% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 21 million yuan, up 109.04% year-on-year [4][7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue and Profit Forecasts: - 2024: Revenue of 3.362 billion yuan, net profit of 50 million yuan - 2025: Revenue expected to reach 4.491 billion yuan, net profit forecasted at 264 million yuan - 2026: Revenue projected at 5.591 billion yuan, net profit at 520 million yuan - 2027: Revenue anticipated to be 6.901 billion yuan, net profit at 761 million yuan [6][9]. - Profitability Ratios: - Gross margin is expected to improve from 8.6% in 2024 to 20.1% by 2027 - Net margin is projected to increase from 1.5% in 2024 to 11.0% in 2027 - Return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 2.1% in 2024 to 24.6% in 2027 [10]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.21 yuan in 2024 to 3.19 yuan by 2027 [10]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix to meet diverse market demands, including high-end products suitable for 5G applications and AI servers. The company has successfully achieved domestic substitution in high-end copper-clad laminate products and has received certifications from major global clients [7][8]. - The company is also advancing in the IC substrate sector, with products entering small-scale production for flagship mobile devices, expected to scale up by 2025 [8]. Investment Recommendations - Given the company's performance and industry trends, the report has raised profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and introduced a new forecast for 2027. The expected net profits for 2025-2027 are 264 million yuan, 520 million yuan, and 761 million yuan, respectively. The report suggests that 2025 may mark a new growth inflection point for the company, maintaining the "Recommend" rating [8][9].