Chanhen(002895) 华安证券·2025-04-17 07:49Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in both revenue and profit for the year 2024, driven by capacity release and rising product prices. The total revenue reached 5.906 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.72%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 956 million yuan, up 24.80% year-on-year [5][6] - The company's main products, including feed-grade dicalcium phosphate, monoammonium phosphate, phosphoric acid, and phosphate rock, contributed to the revenue growth, with notable increases in sales and prices [6][7] - The company is expanding its international trade capabilities by increasing capital in its subsidiaries, which is expected to enhance its growth potential [8][9] - The high market price of phosphate rock is expected to support the company's profitability in the long term, with plans to increase phosphate rock production capacity [10] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a continued upward trend in net profit for the years 2025 to 2027, with expected figures of 1.229 billion, 1.447 billion, and 1.856 billion yuan respectively [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.906 billion yuan and a net profit of 956 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 36.72% and 24.80% [5][6] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 1.932 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 54.83% [5] Product Pricing and Market Conditions - The average market prices for key products in 2024 were as follows: wet phosphoric acid at 6,082.07 yuan/ton, industrial-grade monoammonium phosphate at 5,672.92 yuan/ton, and feed-grade dicalcium phosphate at 3,754.76 yuan/ton, with year-on-year changes of -7.32%, +1.67%, and +7.20% respectively [7] - The company anticipates continued price increases for its main products in 2025 due to strong demand [6][7] Strategic Developments - The company has established a new subsidiary and increased capital in its Hong Kong subsidiary to enhance international trade operations [8][9] - Plans to expand phosphate rock production capacity are underway, which will support long-term growth [10] Profit Forecasts - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1.229 billion, 1.447 billion, and 1.856 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10, 8, and 7 [11]