Accotest(688200) 华源证券·2025-04-17 08:09Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its market position and growth potential [5][8]. Core Views - The company is recognized as a leading domestic and globally known supplier of semiconductor testing equipment, focusing on analog and mixed-signal testing devices, and has successfully broken the monopoly of foreign manufacturers [7][10]. - The company is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, driven by the recovery of the semiconductor industry and increased demand from markets such as AI, new energy vehicles, consumer electronics, and IoT [21][42]. - The introduction of the STS8600 testing system is anticipated to create a second growth curve for the company, enhancing its product offerings in the SoC testing segment [10][44]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has over 30 years of experience in the semiconductor testing equipment industry and has established itself as a leader in the domestic market [14]. - It has a clear shareholding structure with experienced management, which is crucial for its strategic direction and operational efficiency [14]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 905 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.05%, and a net profit of 334 million yuan, up 32.69% from the previous year [21][23]. - The testing system business generated 815 million yuan in revenue, reflecting a growth of 37.52%, and accounted for 90.02% of total revenue [23][25]. Market Outlook - The global semiconductor equipment sales are projected to reach a new high of 117.1 billion USD in 2024, with testing equipment sales expected to grow significantly due to rising demand from AI and high-bandwidth memory [33][39]. - The domestic market for semiconductor testing machines is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.4% from 2023 to 2027, indicating a robust demand for local manufacturers [40][42]. Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on expanding its product matrix in the analog, mixed-signal, and SoC testing equipment sectors, which are expected to drive future growth [16][44]. - The STS8300 testing system has gained significant market recognition, contributing to the company's increasing market share in the analog testing segment, projected to reach 36% in 2024 [43][44]. Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 430 million yuan, 564 million yuan, and 721 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 28.76%, 31.14%, and 27.87% [5][52]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the upcoming years are projected to be 46.77, 35.67, and 27.89, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [5][52].