Workflow
东鹏饮料(605499):业绩高增长,“全国化+多品类”战略持续推进

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" [8] Core Views - The company has achieved high growth in performance, with a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, and a net profit of 980 million yuan, up 47.62% year-on-year [2][3] - The company's strategy of "nationalization + multi-category" is effectively driving growth, particularly in energy drinks and electrolyte beverages, with significant revenue increases in emerging markets [3][9] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company's main business revenue was primarily from energy drinks, generating 3.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.71%, accounting for 80.50% of total revenue. Electrolyte drinks saw revenue of 570 million yuan, up 261.46%, and other beverages generated 375 million yuan, up 72.62% [3] - The company successfully expanded into new markets such as North China and Southwest China, with North China revenue reaching 746 million yuan, a 71.67% increase year-on-year, and Southwest revenue at 623 million yuan, up 61.78% [3] Profitability - The gross margin increased by 1.70 percentage points to 44.47% in Q1 2025, primarily due to lower raw material prices and economies of scale. The net profit margin also rose by 1.14 percentage points to 20.21% [4] - The company aims for a revenue and net profit growth of over 20% in 2025, with projected net profits of 4.029 billion yuan, 4.937 billion yuan, and 6.107 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [9] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024, 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.839 billion yuan, 20.154 billion yuan, 25.151 billion yuan, and 30.742 billion yuan respectively, with growth rates of 40.63%, 27.24%, 24.79%, and 22.23% [4][10] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 6.40 yuan, 7.75 yuan, 9.49 yuan, and 11.74 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 35.80, 29.56, 24.12, and 19.50 [12]