JHSY(002597) 国海证券·2025-04-19 13:37Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a significant improvement in its first-quarter performance for 2025, with expected net profit growth of 78.06% to 93.54% year-on-year [5][8] - The price of sugar substitutes is recovering, which is anticipated to positively impact the company's profitability [6][9] - The company is focusing on enhancing its production efficiency and reducing costs through technological advancements [8][9] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 5.303 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.15% year-on-year, and a net profit of 557 million yuan, down 20.94% year-on-year [4][6] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw revenue of 1.261 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.52%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16.19% [5] - The company expects to achieve a net profit of 230 to 250 million yuan in the first quarter of 2025, marking a substantial increase compared to the previous year [5][8] Market Data Summary - As of April 18, 2025, the company's stock price is 23.99 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 13.67 billion yuan [3] - The company has shown a 12-month performance of 16.4%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 5.7% [3] Future Earnings Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 6.126 billion yuan, 6.536 billion yuan, and 7.366 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.006 billion yuan, 1.243 billion yuan, and 1.487 billion yuan [10][12] - The report anticipates a significant recovery in profitability, with net profit growth rates of 81% in 2025, 24% in 2026, and 20% in 2027 [10][12]