CNRE(600111) 国金证券·2025-04-20 07:59Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 32.966 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.004 billion RMB, down 57.64% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 11.407 billion RMB, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 33.10% and a year-on-year increase of 33.04% [2] - The company experienced a significant improvement in performance on a quarter-on-quarter basis, despite a decline in sales volume for key products [3] - The company has implemented cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures, resulting in a 5.1% year-on-year decrease in processing costs per ton of rare earth [4] - The strategic value of rare earths is expected to increase due to rising prices and supply constraints, with potential new demand from downstream applications [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected to be 32.966 billion RMB, with a revenue growth rate of -1.58% [10] - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 1.004 billion RMB, reflecting a net profit growth rate of -57.64% [10] - Q4 2024 revenue reached 11.407 billion RMB, with a gross profit of 1.429 billion RMB and a gross margin of 12.53% [3] Cost Management - The company has successfully reduced unit costs through energy consumption optimization, leading to a decrease in processing costs [4] - The company maintained stable operating expense ratios while continuing to invest heavily in R&D, with a R&D expense ratio of 1.35% in Q4 2024 [3] Market Outlook - The report anticipates continued recovery in the supply-demand dynamics of rare earths, driven by export controls and a reduction in overseas mining supply [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand in sectors such as robotics and low-altitude economy, enhancing the strategic importance of rare earth materials [4] Earnings Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 34.849 billion RMB, 40.530 billion RMB, and 45.816 billion RMB, respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same years are 2.106 billion RMB, 2.500 billion RMB, and 3.490 billion RMB, with corresponding EPS of 0.583, 0.692, and 0.965 RMB [5]