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华虹半导体(01347):能利用率维持高位,关注成熟制程国产化带来的增量空间

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7] Core Views - The company maintains high capacity utilization, with a focus on the incremental space brought by the localization of mature processes [4] - The company reported sales revenue of 539.2millionin4Q24,anincreaseof18.4539.2 million in 4Q24, an increase of 18.4% year-over-year and 2.4% quarter-over-quarter, aligning with guidance [1] - The gross margin for 4Q24 was 11.4%, up 7.4 percentage points year-over-year, slightly exceeding the guidance of 9%-11% [1] - The company expects 1Q25 revenue to be between 530 million and 550million,withagrossmarginof11550 million, with a gross margin of 11%-13% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 4Q24, the company achieved a gross margin of 11.4% and net profit was impacted by exchange losses and increased operational costs [1] - The company’s capital expenditure in 4Q24 was 1.506 billion, primarily for 12-inch capacity expansion [4] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 107million,107 million, 168 million, and $231 million respectively [4] Production and Capacity - As of the end of 4Q24, the company had a monthly capacity equivalent to 391 thousand 8-inch wafers, with wafer shipments of 1,213 thousand 8-inch wafers, a year-over-year increase of 27.5% [2] - The capacity utilization rate was 103.2%, showing a year-over-year increase of 19.1 percentage points [2] Market Demand - The demand from downstream applications remains stable, with independent non-volatile memory revenue increasing by 57% quarter-over-quarter [3] - Revenue from 12-inch wafers grew by 40.2% year-over-year, while 8-inch wafer revenue saw a slight increase of 0.6% [2][3] Strategic Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of localization in mature processes, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from power devices and analog management [4] - The company has established itself as a preferred foundry for overseas clients, which is expected to support its 12-inch capacity expansion and profitability [4]