sntonly(834599) 国海证券·2025-04-21 07:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Views - The company's profitability is expected to significantly improve in 2024, driven by trends in large-scale, intelligent, and electrified operations, which will support continuous performance growth [1][6] - The company achieved a revenue of 6.145 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 793 million yuan, up 29.03% year-on-year [4][6] - The company is making significant progress in the new energy and autonomous driving sectors, with successful deliveries and increased sales of new energy vehicles and autonomous mining trucks [6][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 6.145 billion yuan, with domestic revenue of 5.134 billion yuan (up 5.22% year-on-year) and overseas revenue of 1.011 billion yuan (up 3.03% year-on-year) [6][8] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 21.45%, an increase of 2.37 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the introduction of higher-margin large-tonnage and new energy products [6][7] - The net profit margin improved to 12.91%, up 2.32 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting enhanced profitability [7][8] Market Trends and Strategic Initiatives - The company is positioned to benefit from national policies promoting equipment upgrades in the mining sector, which will drive demand for large-scale and autonomous mining trucks [7][8] - The autonomous mining truck market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating an increase in the number of autonomous trucks deployed in open-pit mines [7][8] - The company aims to enhance its market share in the new energy sector by increasing the production scale of electric off-road dump trucks [7][8] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 7.067 billion yuan in 2025, 8.296 billion yuan in 2026, and 9.821 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 910 million yuan, 995 million yuan, and 1.148 billion yuan respectively [8][9] - The expected growth rates for revenue and net profit are 15% and 9% for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a return on equity (ROE) projected at around 25% [9][10]