Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (688196) 长江证券·2025-04-21 08:46Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 149 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 89.6%, and a net profit of 61 million yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 111% [2][6] - Despite the impact of the EU anti-dumping tax, the company is likely to offset risks through overseas channel expansion and new capacity construction, with projects such as the annual production of 100,000 tons of hydrocarbon-based biodiesel and the first phase of 100,000 tons in Singapore expected to enhance profits [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.563 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.7%, and a net profit of 149 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.6%. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 135 million yuan, up 24.8% [6] - For Q4 2024, the company reported revenue of 589 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 115%, and a net profit of 57 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 176% [6] - In Q1 2025, the company recorded revenue of 709 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.4%, but a net profit of 61 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111% [6] Market Strategy - The company has actively expanded overseas channels and established a self-owned sales network in Europe through its subsidiary in the Netherlands, effectively mitigating the impact of the anti-dumping investigation [13] - The sales model adjustment has allowed the company to recognize revenue at local terminal prices in the EU, resulting in a year-on-year increase of 21.82% in the selling price per ton [13] Profitability Drivers - The profit growth in 2024 was supported by an increase in gross profit per ton, a reduction in expense ratios, and an increase in other income [13] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 7.11%, a decrease of 0.62 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross profit per ton improved from 482 yuan/ton in 2023 to 524 yuan/ton in 2024 [13] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 410 million yuan, 600 million yuan, and 680 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 12.9x, 8.7x, and 7.6x [13]