HIC(300873) 华创证券·2025-04-21 10:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected outperformance of over 20% compared to the benchmark index in the next six months [1][20]. Core Views - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 290 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.4%. The company is optimistic about its entry into the emerging markets of the robotics industry [1][6]. - The report highlights the company's ability to leverage its extensive experience in the intelligent logistics sector to develop humanoid robot applications, which could drive significant growth [6][11]. Financial Summary - 2024 Financial Projections: - Total revenue is expected to be 1.65 billion yuan, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year. - Net profit is projected at 290 million yuan, an increase of 4.4% year-on-year. - The gross profit margin for 2024 is estimated at 25.1%, up by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [2][6]. - Segment Performance: - The manufacturing logistics service segment is expected to generate 1.38 billion yuan, down 20.6% year-on-year, primarily due to a significant decline in revenue from the new energy vehicle sector [6][11]. - The logistics equipment and robotics manufacturing segment is projected to achieve 141 million yuan in revenue, indicating rapid growth in this area [6][11]. - Future Earnings Forecast: - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 320 million yuan in 2025, 360 million yuan in 2026, and 400 million yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 10%, 12.8%, and 10% [6][11]. Market Position - The company has a total market capitalization of 4.478 billion yuan and a circulating market value of 3.287 billion yuan. The asset-liability ratio stands at 32.18% [3][6]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong position in the intelligent logistics sector, supported by a nationwide manufacturing logistics fulfillment network and multiple automated intelligent warehousing bases [6][11].