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华峰化学(002064):动态研究:底部成本优势明显,静待氨纶、己二酸拐点

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][12]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic spandex and adipic acid industry, with significant cost advantages at the bottom of the cycle, awaiting an industry turning point [9][10]. - In 2024, the company is expected to experience a decline in profitability due to insufficient demand and price drops in key products, despite an increase in sales volume [6][7]. - The report forecasts a recovery in the spandex and adipic acid sectors, with no new capacity expected in the adipic acid industry in 2025, which may lead to improved consumption driven by domestic technological advancements [10][12]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 26.931 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.220 billion yuan, down 10.4% year-on-year [6][11]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a decline in revenue to 6.559 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.9% year-on-year, and a significant drop in net profit to 205 million yuan, down 62.7% year-on-year [6][8]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 13.8%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability [6][12]. Product Segment Performance - The chemical fiber segment generated revenue of 9.051 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 2.7% year-on-year, while sales volume increased by 12.3% to 368,000 tons [7]. - The chemical new materials segment reported revenue of 5.844 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.7% year-on-year, with a sales volume of 425,000 tons, up 2.4% [7]. - The basic chemical products segment saw a revenue increase of 22.3% to 10.475 billion yuan, with a sales volume of 1.366 million tons, although the gross margin decreased by 8.8 percentage points [7].