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三诺生物(300298):传统业务稳健,2025年开始CGM海外发力可期
300298Sinocare(300298) 华源证券·2025-04-22 09:24

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The traditional business remains stable, and the overseas expansion of Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) is expected to begin in 2025 [5] - The company is a leader in the blood glucose monitoring industry, with new products in CGM experiencing rapid growth and an expanding market ceiling [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: 4,059 million RMB - 2024: 4,443 million RMB (growth of 9.47%) - 2025E: 4,927 million RMB (growth of 10.89%) - 2026E: 5,478 million RMB (growth of 11.19%) - 2027E: 6,102 million RMB (growth of 11.38%) [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to grow from 284 million RMB in 2023 to 625 million RMB in 2027, with a notable increase of 27.55% in 2025 [6][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.50 RMB in 2023 to 1.11 RMB in 2027 [6] Business Segment Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 44.4 billion RMB, with a year-on-year increase of 9.5% and a net profit of 3.3 billion RMB, up 14.7% [7] - The blood glucose monitoring revenue for 2024 is projected at 33.2 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.6% [7] - The gross margin for the blood glucose monitoring system improved to 60.2% in 2024, an increase of 1.1 percentage points [7] Market Expansion and Product Development - The CGM product line has been launched domestically, with plans for further international registration in countries such as Singapore, Pakistan, Russia, and Saudi Arabia [7] - The company is in the substantive review stage with the FDA in the United States, indicating potential for overseas market penetration starting in 2025 [7]