ZD Leader(002896) 华龙证券·2025-04-22 09:29Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (首次覆盖) [4] Core Views - The company has a deep foundation in the reducer field and is expected to benefit from the mass production of humanoid robots. The company has been involved in the modularization of joint modules and has a first-mover advantage in the humanoid robot sector, having already supplied certain mainframe manufacturers [6][4]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 976 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 73 million yuan, a decrease of 0.82% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 58 million yuan, an increase of 3.26% year-on-year [4][6]. - The gross profit margin improved to 25.9%, an increase of 3.02 percentage points year-on-year. Revenue from the intelligent execution unit was 370 million yuan, down 23.65%, while the revenue from the reducer motor was 345 million yuan, up 0.78%. The revenue from reducers was 243 million yuan, up 1.07% [6][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.12 billion yuan, 1.29 billion yuan, and 1.49 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 14.48%, 15.23%, and 15.89% [6][7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 91 million yuan, 107 million yuan, and 129 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.84%, 17.26%, and 20.46% [6][7]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company supplies products to robot mainframe manufacturers and has competitive advantages in integrated actuators. Its products are widely used in various sectors, including robotics, intelligent logistics, and CNC machine tools. The company has been focusing on core components such as reducer motors and reducers, aligning with the industry's trend towards integration [6][4].