SFC(601595) 国盛证券·2025-04-22 10:47Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the film industry, with a significant release of quality content in 2025, particularly in its IP business [5][3]. - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 690 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.19%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 90 million yuan, down 29.08% year-on-year [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company experienced substantial growth, achieving revenue of 248 million yuan, up 17.90% year-on-year, and a net profit of 65 million yuan, up 41.55% year-on-year [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company's revenue from various segments includes: - Film screening: 454 million yuan (YoY -17.3%) - Merchandise: 61 million yuan (YoY -13.6%) - Advertising services: 42 million yuan (YoY +9.9%) - Film distribution: 20 million yuan (YoY -38.0%) - Licensing: 66 million yuan (YoY +62.7%) [2]. - The company's direct cinema achieved a box office of 465 million yuan in 2024, a decrease of 26.4% year-on-year, while franchise cinemas generated a box office of 3.315 billion yuan, also down 26.1% year-on-year [3]. - The company has a stable number of direct cinemas (51) and an expanding number of franchise cinemas (836), with a total of 5,726 screens [3]. IP Business Development - The company is actively exploring new paths for IP content renewal and monetization, with significant collaborations with brands like Starbucks and Luckin Coffee, generating a total online engagement of 7.12 billion [4]. - The subsidiary, Shanghai Yuan, reported revenue of 93.87 million yuan and a net profit of 27.5 million yuan in 2024 [4]. - The company is also venturing into AI and IP collaborations, aiming to create a new ecosystem that integrates technology with content [4]. Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 270 million yuan, 330 million yuan, and 370 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating year-on-year growth rates of 198%, 24%, and 10% [5].