航天南湖（688552）：2024年年报及2025年一季报点评：1Q25营收同比大增1202%，推进新型军贸出口立项

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6][8]. Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue increase of 1201.6% year-on-year in Q1 2025, recovering from a decline in previous quarters, indicating a potential demand turning point [3]. - The 2024 annual performance was in line with market expectations, while Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, suggesting improvement in operational conditions [3]. - The company is actively advancing new military trade export projects and transitioning research products into mass production [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 220 million yuan, a decrease of 70% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -80 million yuan [3]. - For Q1 2025, revenue reached 360 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 1201.6%, with a net profit of 60 million yuan [3]. - The gross margin for 2024 decreased by 14.8 percentage points to 18.6%, while Q1 2025 saw a recovery to 27.55% [3]. Product Segmentation - In 2024, revenue from radar and supporting equipment was 90 million yuan, down 84.9% year-on-year, while radar components generated 110 million yuan, up 4.1% year-on-year [4]. - The company is focusing on developing new models and has begun mass production for some products, alongside pursuing new military trade model exports [4]. Cost and Cash Flow - The company's period expenses decreased by 28.9% to 130 million yuan in 2024, but the expense ratio increased due to reduced revenue scale [5]. - As of Q1 2025, accounts receivable increased by 54.5% to 400 million yuan, while inventory decreased by 17.7% to 340 million yuan [5]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 105 million yuan, 193 million yuan, and 400 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 74x, 40x, and 19x [6][7]. - The company is positioned as a key player in the domestic air defense radar sector and is expanding into international markets [6].