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华峰铝业(601702):24Q4业绩创季度历史新高,新产品&重庆基地贡献成长动力

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company achieved a record high quarterly performance in Q4 2024, driven by new products and the expansion of its Chongqing base [4] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand for aluminum thermal materials in the electric vehicle sector and traditional automotive exports, with long-term growth potential from energy storage and data centers [6] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported revenue of 10.9 billion yuan (up 17.1% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.22 billion yuan (up 35.4% year-on-year) [6] - Q4 2024 revenue reached 3.2 billion yuan (up 23.2% year-on-year, up 16.6% quarter-on-quarter) with a net profit of 350 million yuan (up 48.5% year-on-year, up 13.3% quarter-on-quarter) [6] - In Q1 2025, revenue was 2.9 billion yuan (up 23% year-on-year, down 9.2% quarter-on-quarter) with a net profit of 266 million yuan (up 5% year-on-year, down 24% quarter-on-quarter) [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 13.7 billion yuan, 15.3 billion yuan, and 16.4 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.89%, 12.04%, and 7.00% respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.44 billion yuan, 1.67 billion yuan, and 1.92 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.88%, 16.57%, and 14.88% respectively [5] Valuation Metrics - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025-2027 are projected to be 11.04, 9.47, and 8.25 respectively [5] - The company is positioned as a leader in aluminum thermal transfer materials, benefiting from increased usage in electric vehicles and traditional automotive exports [6]