Yanjing Brewery(000729) 华鑫证券·2025-04-23 08:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for Yanjing Beer [1] Core Views - The company has demonstrated robust performance with total revenue and net profit for 2024 reaching 14.667 billion and 1.056 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3% and 64% [2] - The beer business has shown significant improvement in gross margin, particularly in mid-to-high-end products, with a gross margin increase of 4.16 percentage points to 48.09% [3] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the growth of its U8 product line and ongoing cost control measures, leading to sustained high profit growth [9] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, total revenue was 14.667 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.056 billion yuan, marking a 3% increase in revenue and a 64% increase in net profit year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for 2024 was 41%, up 3.1 percentage points, while the net margin was 9%, also up 3 percentage points [2] - Operating cash flow significantly improved, reaching 2.549 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 81% [2] Beer Business Insights - Beer revenue for 2024 was 13.230 billion yuan, with mid-to-high-end products contributing 8.865 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.15% increase [3] - The total beer sales volume was 4.0044 million kiloliters, with U8 maintaining over 30% growth, achieving sales of 696,000 kiloliters [3] Channel and Regional Performance - Revenue from traditional, KA, and e-commerce channels was 13.925 billion, 486 million, and 255 million yuan, respectively, with e-commerce channel gross margin increasing by 0.44 percentage points to 28.35% [8] - Regional revenue showed growth in North and East China, with North China revenue at 7.830 billion yuan, up 5.39% [8] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to have EPS of 0.51, 0.62, and 0.75 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 25, 21, and 17 times [9]