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春风动力:点评报告:一季度业绩超预期,产品矩阵及全球化布局持续完善-20250423
603129CFMOTO(603129) 浙商证券·2025-04-23 08:35

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 15.04 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.47 billion yuan, up 46% year-on-year [1] - The company achieved a significant increase in operating cash flow, reaching 2.97 billion yuan, which is a 115% year-on-year growth [1] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 590 million yuan, maintaining a payout ratio of 40% [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.25 billion yuan, representing a 39% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 420 million yuan, up 36% year-on-year [1] - The gross profit margins for four-wheeled and two-wheeled vehicles were 36.5% and 21.7% respectively, with a slight decline attributed to accounting policy changes [1] - The sales net profit margin for 2024 was 9.9%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, and the weighted average ROE was 26.3%, up 4.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] Product Matrix and Globalization - The company has optimized its product matrix with the launch of new models such as U10 PRO and X10, achieving a sales volume of 169,100 units for all-terrain vehicles in 2024, with a revenue of 7.21 billion yuan, an 11% increase year-on-year [2] - In the motorcycle segment, the company sold 286,500 units, generating a revenue of 6.04 billion yuan, a 37% year-on-year increase, with a strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [3] - The electric vehicle segment saw a remarkable growth of 414% in revenue, reaching 400 million yuan, with significant expansion in both domestic and international markets [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 18.8 billion yuan, 22.9 billion yuan, and 27 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25%, 21%, and 18% [5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.8 billion yuan, 2.2 billion yuan, and 2.6 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 24%, 22%, and 16% respectively [5] - The corresponding P/E ratios for the next three years are projected to be 13, 11, and 9 times [5]