芯瑞达（002983）：业绩修复拐点显现

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3][10] Core Views - The company is experiencing a performance recovery point, with significant growth expected in Mini modules and a gradual recovery in display terminals [2][13] - The company has announced a share buyback and incentive plan to anchor growth confidence [9][13] Revenue Analysis - Mini module revenue is expected to grow significantly, with a year-on-year increase of 35% for display modules and a projected doubling in Q4 [7] - Display terminal revenue has decreased by 45% year-on-year, but a recovery is anticipated in Q4 [7] Profit Analysis - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 259 million (up 3.4% year-on-year) and a net profit of 46 million (up 31.6% year-on-year) [9] - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 2.5 yuan per 10 shares, corresponding to a payout ratio of 47% [9] Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.505 billion, 1.822 billion, and 2.185 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 27.2%, 21.1%, and 19.9% [12][13] - The expected net profit for 2025 is 156 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.8% [12][13] Share Buyback and Incentive Plan - The company plans to grant 1.2668 million restricted shares to 70 incentive targets, accounting for 0.57% of total shares [9] - The buyback plan involves an expenditure of 10-20 million for repurchasing shares at a price not exceeding 26.96 yuan per share [9]