KDL(002850) 摩根·2025-04-23 10:46Investment Rating - Stock Rating: Overweight [6] - Industry View: Attractive [6] - Price Target: Rmb122.00 [6] Core Insights - Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co Ltd reported robust results for 4Q24, with a net profit of Rmb455 million, reflecting a 23.6% quarter-on-quarter and 12.2% year-on-year increase [9] - The company aims for 20-30% year-on-year revenue and shipment growth in FY25, with overseas sales projected to exceed Rmb1 billion [9][3] - The company is expanding its production capabilities, including plans for a factory in the US to meet localized procurement demands [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 net profit was Rmb1.47 billion, up 22.6% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 27.3% in 4Q24, an increase of 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [9] - The FY24 dividend was Rmb2 per share, yielding 1.8% with a payout ratio of 36.9% [9] Market Expansion - Overseas sales are targeted to grow significantly, from Rmb574 million in 2024 to over Rmb1 billion in 2025 [3] - The Germany factory is expected to become profitable in 2Q25, while the US and Malaysia factories are anticipated to start generating sales in 2026 [3] Product Development - Kedali is focusing on humanoid robots as a significant industrial opportunity and is expanding its reducer capacity based on customer demand [4] - The company has initiated R&D on products beyond reducers, indicating a diversification strategy [4]