Mtalco(601677) 东北证券·2025-04-24 07:42Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its growth potential and valuation recovery [4][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 32.32 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.75 billion yuan, up 30% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 8.12 billion yuan, reflecting a 13% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 440 million yuan, up 21% year-on-year [2][3]. - The aluminum plate and strip industry in China is expected to develop steadily in 2024, with production of aluminum plates and strips reaching 14.75 million tons, a 9% increase year-on-year. The company’s sales volume of aluminum plates and strips is projected to grow by 19% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the policy changes regarding the import of deformed scrap aluminum, which supports the development of its recycled aluminum business. The company has a recycling capacity of over 1 million tons [4][10]. Financial Summary - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 32.32 billion yuan in 2024 to 39.07 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9% [5][12]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 1.75 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.46 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 11% [5][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.46 yuan in 2024 to 1.97 yuan in 2027, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 8.24 to 6.11 over the same period [5][12].