WENS FOODSTUFF GROUP CO.(300498) 开源证券·2025-04-24 08:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The company demonstrates significant cost advantages in breeding, and its high dividend payouts reflect its investment value. The company reported a revenue of 104.92 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 16.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.23 billion yuan, up 244.46% [4][5] - The company is expected to navigate through the industry cycle successfully, with an upward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2026 and the introduction of a profit forecast for 2027. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 11.98 billion yuan, 13.26 billion yuan, and 19.36 billion yuan, respectively [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company sold 30.18 million pigs, a 14.93% increase, with an average selling price of 16.71 yuan per kilogram, up 12.83% [5] - The total breeding cost for pigs in 2024 was 14.4 yuan per kilogram, a decrease of 2.4 yuan compared to the previous year, and it further declined to 12.6-12.8 yuan per kilogram in Q1 2025 [5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.32 billion yuan for 2024, which, along with share buybacks, totals 2.97 billion yuan, accounting for 32% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [6] Financial Forecasts - The company’s revenue is projected to reach 106.71 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 1.7%, and net profit is expected to be 11.98 billion yuan, reflecting a 29.8% increase [7] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 17.4% in 2024 to 19.3% in 2025, while the net margin is expected to rise from 8.8% to 11.2% in the same period [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.80 yuan in 2025, 1.99 yuan in 2026, and 2.91 yuan in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9.4, 8.5, and 5.8 [7]