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云铝股份:Q1归母环比实现增长,绿色铝一体化布局成本优势显著-20250424

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated a significant cost advantage in its integrated green aluminum layout, with a notable increase in production targets for 2025, including 1.41 million tons of alumina and 3.01 million tons of electrolytic aluminum [1][2] - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic green aluminum industry, leveraging its resource advantages and cost efficiencies to achieve substantial growth through capacity realization and cost reduction [4] - The company aims to maintain a high proportion of clean energy in its production, targeting over 80% by 2024, which significantly reduces carbon emissions compared to traditional coal-powered aluminum production [3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 14.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 6%, with a gross margin of 10% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.974 billion yuan, down 16.3% year-on-year but up 65% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit margin of 8% [1] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 5.8 billion, 7.1 billion, and 8.0 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.0, 7.3, and 6.5 [4][5] Production and Resource Advantages - The company has a strong competitive advantage in resource security, focusing on the development of bauxite resources in Yunnan province, which supports its green aluminum production [2] - The company has established a production capacity of 1.4 million tons of alumina and has successfully launched a joint venture for a 0.9 million tons per year anode carbon project [2][3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively pursuing projects to enhance its industrial development quality, including the construction of a comprehensive aluminum resource utilization project and upgrades to its alloy production lines [3] - The company is committed to integrating green development principles throughout its operations, aligning with national ecological civilization goals [3]