Topsec(002212) 国海证券·2025-04-24 08:34Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][12]. Core Views - The company is expected to turn profitable in 2024, driven by AI empowerment in cybersecurity [1]. - The cybersecurity market in China is projected to grow from 17.1 billion by 2028, with a CAGR of 9.2% [5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the growth in AI and cybersecurity demand, with adjusted revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 being 32.19 billion, 37.14 billion, and 41.99 billion yuan respectively [11]. Summary by Sections Recent Performance - For Q1 2025, the company expects revenue between 320 to 340 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 24.17% to 19.43%, with a net loss of 65 to 75 million yuan, a reduction in loss compared to the previous year [4]. Cybersecurity Business - The cybersecurity revenue for 2024 is projected to be 2.55 billion yuan, a decline of 11.49% year-on-year, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to increasing demand driven by domestic substitution and policy compliance [5]. Cloud Computing - The cloud computing segment is expected to generate 256 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 10.09% year-on-year, supported by advancements in hyper-converged infrastructure and user experience improvements [6]. Profitability Improvement - The company has improved its net profit margin by 14.84 percentage points year-on-year, with a sales gross margin of 61.04% and a net profit margin of 2.59% [7]. New Product Development - The company is leveraging AI technologies to enhance its product offerings, including the launch of the Tianwen large model system and various AI-enabled products, which are expected to support sustainable growth [9]. Financial Projections - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.15, 0.20, and 0.26 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 48, 36, and 28 [10][11].