Focus Tech.(002315) 江海证券·2025-04-24 09:11Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 43.70 CNY, representing a potential upside from the current price of 39.71 CNY over a 12-month period [1][6]. Core Insights - The company, Focus Technology Co., Ltd., is positioned in the AI e-commerce sector, with significant growth potential driven by the rapid development of AI applications and a strong foreign trade market in China [4][6]. - The company's main business segments include the China Manufacturing Network, foreign trade AI applications, cross-border e-commerce, and new insurance agency services [28][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Focus Technology Co., Ltd. was established in January 1996 and is headquartered in Nanjing, Jiangsu Province. It was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in December 2009 under the stock code 002315.SZ [12][6]. Industry Analysis - In 2024, China's total import and export trade reached 43.85 trillion CNY, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.0% [21][22]. - The foreign trade market is characterized by product structure optimization, with a notable increase in high-tech product exports [22][23]. Main Business Analysis - The China Manufacturing Network is the core business, contributing approximately 81% of total revenue from 2022 to 2024, with steady revenue growth [31][30]. - The foreign trade AI application business is rapidly growing, with significant cash returns and increasing membership for the AI assistant, AI Maike [40][34]. Financial Analysis - The company has shown steady revenue growth, with total revenues of 14.75 billion CNY in 2022, increasing to 16.69 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [49][66]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders also demonstrated robust growth, reaching 4.51 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth rate of 19.09% [49][66]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 19.01 billion CNY, 21.54 billion CNY, and 24.11 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 14.46%, 13.31%, and 11.91% [66][67]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for the same period are projected to be 1.77 CNY, 2.12 CNY, and 2.46 CNY, with a target price based on a 2026 PE ratio of 25 times [66][67].