Shandong Xiantan (002746) 中邮证券·2025-04-24 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [6][10]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024 due to falling chicken prices, despite significant capacity growth [3][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue increase of 2.81% year-on-year, with a substantial net profit growth of 583.83%, attributed to cost reductions and a low base effect [3][4]. - The company’s chicken product revenue decreased by 9.98% in 2024, but the gross margin improved by 1.46 percentage points to 4.75% due to lower feed costs [4]. - The pre-prepared food segment showed strong growth, with a revenue increase of 42.02% year-on-year, supported by the launch of new production capacity [5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 5.96 CNY - Total shares: 861 million, circulating shares: 710 million - Total market capitalization: 5.1 billion CNY, circulating market capitalization: 4.2 billion CNY - 52-week high/low: 6.71 CNY / 5.14 CNY - Debt-to-asset ratio: 38.6% - Price-to-earnings ratio: 24.83 [2]. Financial Performance - 2024 revenue: 5.291 billion CNY, down 8.49% year-on-year - 2024 net profit: 206 million CNY, down 8.75% year-on-year - 2025 revenue forecast: 5.449 billion CNY, expected growth of 3.00% - 2025 net profit forecast: 240 million CNY, expected growth of 16.54% [6][7]. Earnings Forecast - Expected EPS for 2025-2027: 0.28 CNY, 0.33 CNY, and 0.36 CNY respectively - The company is projected to maintain a competitive advantage due to significant growth potential and cost advantages despite industry challenges [6][7].