HHTG(600095) 太平洋·2025-04-24 14:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xiangcai Co., Ltd. (600095) with a target price based on the last closing price of 8.43 [1]. Core Views - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. is transitioning as a traditional brokerage firm while advancing in financial technology, aiming to create a differentiated competitive advantage [1][5]. - The company has optimized its governance structure and continues to operate under a light asset model, with a significant focus on securities business contributing 96.25% of net income [4][20]. - Financial performance has shown fluctuations due to proprietary business impacts, but there is a steady growth trend in revenue and operating profit [4][20]. Summary by Sections Company Governance and Business Model - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. was established in 1993 and went public in 2020 through a reverse merger, evolving into a comprehensive brokerage firm [15]. - The introduction of Zhejiang state-owned capital has optimized the shareholding structure, creating a mixed ownership model [16]. - The securities business has become the primary revenue source, with the industrial sector's contribution significantly reduced to less than 2% of total assets [20]. Financial Technology Empowerment - The brokerage business is being enhanced through financial technology, focusing on wealth management transformation [5][32]. - Credit business has shown stable growth, with margin financing increasing by 12.60% year-on-year, while stock pledge business has been eliminated [43]. - Proprietary business has shifted towards long-term value investment, increasing the proportion of fixed-income investments [49]. Financial Performance Forecast - Revenue projections for Xiangcai Co., Ltd. are estimated at 2.26 billion, 2.51 billion, and 2.83 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with net profits expected to reach 102.54 million, 195.12 million, and 255.48 million yuan [6][9]. - The diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.04, 0.07, and 0.09 yuan for the same years, indicating a significant improvement in profitability [6][9]. Strategic Partnerships and Acquisitions - Xiangcai Co., Ltd. has a strong foundation in financial technology and plans to merge with Dazhihui to enhance its service capabilities [6][81]. - The collaboration with Yimeng Co. has been pivotal in developing AI-driven investment advisory services, enhancing customer engagement and service quality [76][81].