DEPPON(603056) 国金证券·2025-04-25 01:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 40.36 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 11.3%, driven primarily by the express delivery business [2] - The express delivery business saw a revenue decline of 19.7% in 2024, while the freight business grew by 12.95% to 36.46 billion RMB, supported by improved delivery quality and sales capabilities [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 10.41 billion RMB, a 12% increase year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 173.7% to -0.68 billion RMB due to increased resource investment and a 34% rise in transportation costs [2] Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company's gross margin decreased to 7.62% in 2024, down 1.06 percentage points, primarily due to increased transportation costs [3] - The operating expense ratio improved to 5.51%, down 1.06 percentage points, with sales expenses rising by 43.04% to 686 million RMB, reflecting ongoing investments in sales capabilities [3] - The company successfully reduced labor costs as a percentage of revenue by 4.37 percentage points through service upgrades and improved delivery coverage [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been revised down to 970 million RMB and 1.07 billion RMB, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 1.18 billion RMB [4] - The report indicates a projected revenue growth rate of 10.50% for 2025 and a net profit growth rate of 13.05% [9]