STL(002648) 申万宏源证券·2025-04-25 02:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7] Core Views - The company achieved significant year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with total revenue reaching 12,329 million yuan, up 40.03% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at 1,568 million yuan, up 53.38% year-on-year [7] - The report highlights the impact of rising ethane prices and uncertainties related to tariffs, which may affect future performance [7] - The company is expected to benefit from new production capacities and improved product margins in the coming years, particularly in the C3 segment [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are 53,971 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.2% [6] - Net profit for 2025 is forecasted at 6,875 million yuan, reflecting a 13.2% increase year-on-year [6] - The report anticipates a steady increase in earnings per share, reaching 2.04 yuan in 2025 [6] - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 22.6% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 19.5% [6] Market Data - As of April 24, 2025, the company's closing price was 17.41 yuan, with a market capitalization of 58,610 million yuan [2] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to be 9x for 2025, decreasing to 5x by 2027 [6][7]