ZHUYE GP(600961) 华福证券·2025-04-25 06:20Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 19.759 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.82%, primarily driven by rising prices of base metals, leading to increased product revenue. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 787 million yuan, up 28.70% year-on-year [3][6]. - The production and sales of gold and silver increased, with gold production rising by 8.05% year-on-year and sales up by 36.42%. However, zinc and lead production saw slight declines [4]. - The company benefits from high-grade mineral resources, particularly from the Shuikoushan lead-zinc mine, which is among the top in the country in terms of value [5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.371 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.76%, and a net profit of 205 million yuan, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 155.56% [3]. - The average prices for gold and silver in 2024 were 557 yuan per gram and 7219 yuan per kilogram, respectively, showing substantial increases compared to the previous year [4]. Production and Sales - Zinc and zinc alloy production was 642,500 tons, a decrease of 2.94% year-on-year, while sales increased by 0.77%. Lead and lead alloy production decreased by 3.79%, with sales down by 2.08% [4]. - The company’s gold production was 3.7 tons, with sales reaching 4.07 tons, marking a 36.42% increase in sales year-on-year [4]. Profitability - The company achieved a gross profit of 1.742 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 8.8%. Gold contributed 23.6% to the gross profit, while silver accounted for 25.3% [4]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 1.13 billion, 1.17 billion, and 1.21 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting an upward revision in gold and silver price predictions [6].