SRBC(600039) 华源证券·2025-04-25 12:26Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The fourth quarter performance shows significant recovery, and the high dividend payout enhances investment attractiveness [4] - The company is expected to increase its cash dividend ratio to no less than 60% from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding dividend yields projected at 6.7%, 7.6%, and 8.4% [5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 107.238 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.78%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.210 billion yuan, down 19.92% [5] - The fourth quarter alone saw revenue of 35.361 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.73%, with net profit attributable to shareholders reaching 2.437 billion yuan, up 94.97% [5] - The company’s total cash dividend for 2024 is projected at 3.606 billion yuan, with a cash dividend ratio of 50.02%, leading to a dividend yield of 4.87% based on the closing price on April 23 [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for the company are as follows: 115.042 billion yuan in 2023, 107.238 billion yuan in 2024, 118.513 billion yuan in 2025, 130.498 billion yuan in 2026, and 141.155 billion yuan in 2027 [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 9.004 billion yuan in 2023, 7.210 billion yuan in 2024, 8.354 billion yuan in 2025, 9.405 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.460 billion yuan in 2027 [4] Market Performance - The company’s engineering construction, mining and new materials, and clean energy segments generated revenues of 92.952 billion yuan, 3.343 billion yuan, and 610 million yuan in 2024, with year-on-year changes of -10.53%, +98.13%, and +33.26% respectively [5] - The company has a robust order backlog, with a total remaining order amount of 291.3 billion yuan, approximately 2.72 times the revenue scale of 2024, providing a solid foundation for future revenue and profit release [5]