Zhuzhou Kibing (601636) 华泰证券·2025-04-25 12:21Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 6.90 [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 156.5 million and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 3.8 million for 2024, showing a slight decline of 0.2% and a significant drop of 78.2% year-on-year, respectively. The performance was below expectations primarily due to asset impairment losses recognized in Q4 [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 34.8 million and a net profit of RMB 4.7 million, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 9.7% in revenue but a growth of 6.4% in net profit, mainly due to non-recurring gains from asset disposals [1][4]. - The company has a competitive edge due to its scale and cost advantages, and its diversified development strategy is expected to enhance resilience during industry downturns [1][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company’s revenue from float glass, energy-saving glass, and photovoltaic glass was RMB 68.6 billion, RMB 24.3 billion, and RMB 57.5 billion, respectively, with photovoltaic glass showing a significant year-on-year growth of 68.6% [2]. - The gross margin for photovoltaic glass was under pressure, declining by 12.5 percentage points year-on-year to 9.0% in 2024, although it improved to 12.0% in Q1 2025 due to a rebound in prices [2]. Cash Flow and Expenses - The company’s operating cash flow in 2024 was RMB 9.1 billion, down 40.9% year-on-year, but improved to RMB 0.2 billion in Q1 2025, indicating a recovery in cash flow driven by rising photovoltaic glass prices [3]. Asset Management and Acquisitions - The increase in net profit in Q1 2025 was largely attributed to a non-recurring gain of RMB 4.7 billion from the disposal of non-current assets. The company plans to acquire the remaining 28.8% stake in its subsidiary, Qibin Energy, which is expected to enhance operational control and decision-making efficiency [4]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upwards, with projected net profits of RMB 10.1 billion, RMB 9.5 billion, and RMB 13.6 billion, respectively. The target price is set at RMB 6.90, reflecting a price-to-book ratio of 1.3x for 2025 [5].