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润贝航科:国产航材前景广阔,C919生产交付提速打开制造端增量市场-20250425

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Add" and maintained [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 909 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 10%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4% to 89 million yuan [5][6] - The gross margin improved by 3.58 percentage points to 27.96%, driven by an increase in the gross margin of distribution products and a higher proportion of self-developed products [6] - The company has enhanced its self-developed aviation material capabilities with the completion and commissioning of its Huizhou production base, which significantly boosts its domestic production capacity [8] - The acceleration of C919 aircraft production and delivery is expected to create a substantial demand for aviation materials, with the company poised to benefit from this growth [9][10] - The company has increased its inventory by 33% to 301 million yuan by the end of 2024, in response to tariff impacts and to ensure supply stability [10] - Forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 are 138 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 205 million yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 25, 20, and 17 times, respectively [10] Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 37.53 yuan - Total shares: 0.82 billion, circulating shares: 0.27 billion - Total market value: 3.1 billion yuan, circulating market value: 1 billion yuan - 52-week high/low: 41.01/25.26 yuan - Debt-to-asset ratio: 13.5% - PE ratio: 34.32 [4] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024: 909 million yuan, with a growth rate of 10.14% - Net profit for 2024: 89 million yuan, with a decline of 4.16% - EBITDA for 2024: 134.45 million yuan [12][15] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.052 billion yuan, 1.210 billion yuan, and 1.384 billion yuan, with growth rates of 15.7%, 14.98%, and 14.38% respectively [12][15] - Expected net profit for 2025-2027: 138 million yuan, 170 million yuan, and 205 million yuan [12][15]