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温氏股份(300498):2024年报及2025年一季报点评报告:成本改善显著,业绩表现亮眼

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][10]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant cost improvements and strong performance in its financial results, with a total revenue of 104.92 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 16.68%, and a net profit of 9.23 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 24.33 billion yuan, up 11.37% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.00 billion yuan, indicating substantial year-on-year improvement [4][5]. - The company has a leading market share in the poultry sector, with chicken sales reaching 1.208 billion birds in 2024, accounting for 8.41% of the national total, while pork sales amounted to 30.182 million heads, representing 4.30% of the national total [5][6]. - The report highlights a rapid decline in breeding costs, with the comprehensive cost of pig farming dropping to approximately 6.3 yuan per jin, and the cost of chicken farming decreasing to 5.6 yuan per jin [5][6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 104.32 billion yuan, 106.65 billion yuan, and 124.10 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 9.53 billion yuan, 8.33 billion yuan, and 15.40 billion yuan [9][10]. - The report anticipates a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12, 13, and 7 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [9][10].