CPIC(601601) 东吴证券·2025-04-25 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the new business value (NBV) increased by 39% year-on-year, driven by strong performance in the bancassurance channel [1][8] - The combined ratio (COR) improved year-on-year, indicating better underwriting performance [8] - The report notes a decline in total revenue by 1.8% year-on-year for Q1 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders decreasing by 18.1% [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: - 2023A: 323,945 million - 2024A: 404,089 million - 2025E: 414,571 million - 2026E: 416,653 million - 2027E: 418,358 million - Year-on-year growth rates: -2.47% (2023A), 24.74% (2024A), 2.59% (2025E), 0.50% (2026E), 0.41% (2027E) [1][22] - Net Profit Forecasts: - 2023A: 27,257 million - 2024A: 44,960 million - 2025E: 48,864 million - 2026E: 46,875 million - 2027E: 46,101 million - Year-on-year growth rates: -27.08% (2023A), 64.95% (2024A), 8.68% (2025E), -4.07% (2026E), -1.65% (2027E) [1][22] - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2023A: 2.83 - 2024A: 4.67 - 2025E: 5.08 - 2026E: 4.87 - 2027E: 4.79 [1][22] - Valuation Metrics: - Current market capitalization is 296,498.92 million with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.93 for 2022 and projected P/E of 6.07 for 2025E [5][22] Business Segment Performance - Life Insurance: - New business value (NBV) reached 57.8 million, with a year-on-year increase of 39% on a comparable basis [8] - Individual insurance new premium decreased by 15.2%, while bancassurance new premium surged by 130.7% [8] - Property and Casualty Insurance: - The combined ratio improved to 97.4%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [8] - Total premium income for property insurance was 631 million, reflecting a 1% increase year-on-year [8] - Investment Performance: - Total investment assets reached 28,102 million, up 2.8% from the beginning of the year [8] - The annualized net investment yield remained stable at 0.8% [8]