ZPEC(603619) 长江证券·2025-04-25 23:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 4.135 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.79%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 10.58% to 726 million yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 18.44% to 692 million yuan [2][6] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.084 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.41%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 4.36%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 57 million yuan, down 52.27% year-on-year and down 76.19% quarter-on-quarter [2][6] - The company’s oil and gas production reached a historical high, with crude oil production of 854,600 tons, an increase of 25.42% year-on-year, and total oil and gas equivalent production exceeding 1 million tons for the first time [11] - The company has significant oil reserves, with new proven geological reserves of 13.2342 million tons of oil and 1.402 billion cubic meters of natural gas reported from various oil fields [11] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 840 million yuan, 1.26 billion yuan, and 1.46 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, assuming a Brent crude oil price of approximately 63 USD per barrel [11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved total revenue of 4.135 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 1.902 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 46% [16] - The company’s operating profit was 968 million yuan, representing 23% of total revenue [16] - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 4.460 billion yuan, 5.454 billion yuan, and 6.258 billion yuan respectively [16] Production and Reserves - The company’s oil production from the Wensu project was 654,600 tons, and from the Jiange project was 200,000 tons, contributing significantly to the overall production [11] - The EBN block in Iraq has an estimated original oil geological reserve of approximately 12.365 billion barrels, while the MF block has about 2.813 billion barrels [11] Market Position - As the first private enterprise in China to own oil fields, the company is positioned for future growth, supported by its low-cost production advantage [11]