BYD(002594) 招商证券·2025-04-26 06:32Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for BYD, indicating an expected stock price increase exceeding 20% compared to the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching CNY 170.36 billion, CNY 9.155 billion, and CNY 8.172 billion, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 36.35%, 100.38%, and 117.80% [1]. - The sales gross margin was 20.07%, a decrease of 1.81 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 1.72 percentage points to 5.54% [1]. - BYD's electric vehicle sales reached 1,000,800 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 59.8%, solidifying its position as the global leader in quarterly sales of pure electric vehicles [7]. - The company reported significant growth in overseas sales, with over 200,000 units sold in international markets, marking a 110% year-on-year increase [7]. - R&D expenses for Q1 2025 were CNY 14.223 billion, a 34.04% increase year-on-year, accounting for 8.33% of revenue [7]. Financial Data and Valuation - Projected total revenue for 2025 is CNY 1,010.233 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 30% [3]. - The estimated net profit for 2025 is CNY 59.205 billion, reflecting a 47% increase compared to 2024 [3]. - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of CNY 19.48 for 2025, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19.0 [3][12]. - The company's total market capitalization is CNY 112.7 billion, with a circulating market value of CNY 43.11 billion [4]. Performance Metrics - The report highlights a significant increase in single-vehicle profitability, with a year-on-year increase of 31.31% to CNY 0.87 million per vehicle [7]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 25.9% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [12]. - The asset-liability ratio is expected to decrease to 69.2% in 2025, reflecting improved financial stability [12].