CHINA TELECOM(601728) 天风证券·2025-04-26 07:13Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for China Telecom with a target price not specified [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 134.5 billion yuan for Q1 2025, a slight increase of 0.01% year-on-year, with service revenue at 124.7 billion yuan, up 0.3% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 8.9 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [1] - The company emphasizes a customer-centric approach, leveraging digital technology trends to enhance product and service offerings, particularly in the personal and family markets [2] - The 5G network user base has grown to 270 million, with a penetration rate of 62.0%, and mobile internet traffic increased by 14.2% year-on-year [2] - The company is focusing on cloud-network integration and innovation in new business areas, with IDC revenue reaching 9.5 billion yuan, a 10.4% increase year-on-year [3] - The report highlights significant growth in smart revenue, which surged by 151.6% year-on-year, and satellite communication revenue increased by 37.2% [3] - The company is committed to enhancing shareholder returns, with a cash distribution of 72% of the net profit for 2024 and a planned increase to over 75% in the next three years [4] - Future net profit projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 35.58 billion, 37.82 billion, and 40.19 billion yuan respectively [4] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company achieved a stable performance in its mobile communication business, with a total mobile internet traffic of 20.4GB per user per month, up 9.1% year-on-year [2] - The smart home business saw an 11.5% increase in revenue, with a gigabit broadband penetration rate of approximately 30% [2] New Business Development - The report indicates that the new business segment is expanding, with a focus on AI, quantum computing, and satellite services, contributing to the overall growth strategy [3] - The company is actively integrating new technologies into its standard products to enhance service capabilities and business value [4] Financial Outlook - The financial forecast indicates a steady growth trajectory, with revenue expected to reach 544.34 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 3.97% [5] - The report projects an EBITDA of 135.96 billion yuan for 2025, with a net profit margin expected to improve gradually over the forecast period [5]