KORRUN(300577) 华西证券·2025-04-26 13:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected to be 4.24 billion and 0.381 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 36.6% and 229.5% [2] - The significant growth in performance is attributed to factors such as inventory replenishment in the 2B bag OEM industry, improved capacity utilization, and the consolidation of Jia Le starting from June [2][5] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.91 yuan for every 10 shares, resulting in a dividend rate of 21% and a yield of 1.88% for 2024 [3] Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2024 is estimated at 4.24 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 36.6% [11] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 0.381 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 229.5% [11] - The gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 22.9%, slightly down from the previous year [11] Business Segments - The 2B bag OEM segment is expected to benefit from inventory replenishment, with a revenue forecast of 3.534 billion yuan for 2024, marking a 44.61% increase [4] - The 2C segment, driven primarily by Xiaomi, is projected to generate 0.658 billion yuan in revenue, a 5.07% increase [6] - Jia Le's contribution post-acquisition is expected to enhance the company's growth trajectory, with its revenue for 2024 estimated at 1.489 billion yuan, a 15.81% increase [5] Future Projections - Revenue for 2025 is forecasted to reach 6.069 billion yuan, with a net profit of 0.461 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 43.1% and 21.0% respectively [11] - The company anticipates continued growth in the 2B segment, with a focus on capacity utilization and customer expansion [9] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 1.92 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 10.37 [11]