Orinko(688219) 国元证券·2025-04-27 00:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable growth in profitability, with a 13.81% year-on-year increase in revenue to 6.088 billion yuan and a 32.04% increase in net profit to 194 million yuan for the year 2024. The first quarter of 2025 also showed a 15.07% increase in revenue to 1.468 billion yuan and a 14.67% increase in net profit to 50 million yuan [2][5]. - The company's modified plastic business has seen a revenue increase of 15.39% to 5.936 billion yuan, accounting for 97.51% of total revenue, driven by increased sales volume [3]. - The company is focusing on high-value products such as long-chain nylon materials, PEEK, and PPS, with long-chain nylon revenue growing by 105.39% year-on-year, indicating a strategic shift towards emerging markets [4]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7.066 billion yuan, 8.335 billion yuan, and 10.081 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 16.08%, 17.95%, and 20.95% [5]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 250 million yuan, 318 million yuan, and 414 million yuan, with growth rates of 28.63%, 27.35%, and 30.13% [5]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.69% in 2025 to 14.16% in 2027 [5]. Market Expansion - The company has successfully expanded into international markets, establishing a factory in Thailand and serving over 30 overseas clients, with overseas sales increasing by 178.39% year-on-year [3]. - The diversification into new fields such as consumer electronics and AI data servers is expected to create new growth opportunities [4].