Sinomine(002738) 民生证券·2025-04-27 00:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 was 5.36 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 10.8%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 760 million, down 65.7% year-on-year [1] - The company is accelerating the development of its copper and gallium-indium projects, which are expected to contribute to profits starting in 2025 [4] - The lithium salt production and sales have significantly increased, with a production of 43,700 tons in 2024, up 137.8% year-on-year, and sales of 42,600 tons, up 145.0% year-on-year [2] - The cesium and rubidium business shows strong growth, with revenue of 1.4 billion in 2024, up 24.2% year-on-year, and a gross profit margin of 78.3%, up 13.9 percentage points year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.54 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36.4%, but a net profit of 130 million, down 47.4% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 5.0 yuan per 10 shares for 2024, totaling 360 million, with a cash dividend rate of 47.7% [1] Lithium Business - The average price of domestic lithium carbonate in 2024 was 90,000 yuan, down 64.8% year-on-year, with a Q1 2025 average price of 75,000 yuan [2] - The company is optimizing lithium salt costs through adjustments in raw material structure and energy cost reductions, with plans to complete 30,000 tons of lithium sulfate capacity in Africa by 2026 [2] Cesium and Rubidium Business - The cesium and rubidium fine chemical production in 2024 was 960 tons, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, while sales were 844 tons, down 15.5% year-on-year [3] - The gross profit for the cesium and rubidium business in Q1 2025 was 230 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 92% [3] Copper and Gallium-Indium Projects - The company completed the acquisition of a 65% stake in the Kitumba copper mine in Zambia in July 2024, with plans for 60,000 tons of copper capacity [4] - The company also acquired a 98% stake in the Tsume project in Namibia, with plans for significant gallium and indium production [4] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 800 million, 1.79 billion, and 2.99 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 26, 12, and 7 [5]