SHCI(601225) 民生证券·2025-04-27 00:23Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated stable performance in Q1 2025, with a high dividend yield of approximately 7% for 2024 [1][2]. - Despite a decline in coal prices impacting performance, the company is characterized as a strong cash cow with high dividend potential, making it attractive for dividend investors [3]. Financial Performance Summary - 2024 Annual Report: - Revenue reached 184.145 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.47% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 22.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.21% - Non-recurring net profit was 21.162 billion yuan, down 14.25% [1][5]. - Q1 2025 Report: - Revenue was 40.162 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.3% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.805 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.23% - Non-recurring net profit was 4.552 billion yuan, down 14.98% [1][5]. - Coal Production and Sales: - In 2024, coal production was 170.4846 million tons, an increase of 4.13% - Coal sales reached 258.4308 million tons, up 9.13% - Average coal price was 561.30 yuan/ton, down 8.50% [2]. - Electricity Generation: - Total electricity generation was 37.615 billion kWh, an increase of 4.41% - Total electricity sales were 35.126 billion kWh, up 4.37% - Average electricity price was 399.23 yuan/MWh, down 4.84% [3]. Earnings Forecast - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is as follows: - 2025: 18.112 billion yuan - 2026: 19.464 billion yuan - 2027: 23.317 billion yuan - Corresponding EPS for the same years is projected to be 1.87 yuan, 2.01 yuan, and 2.41 yuan respectively [3][5]. Valuation Metrics - The report indicates a PE ratio of 11 for 2025, decreasing to 8 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation for investors [3][5].