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指南针(300803):扣非净利润符合预期,业绩和估值高弹性特征突出
300803Beijing (300803) 开源证券·2025-04-27 03:13

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 total revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders were 540 million and 140 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 85% and 726%. The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 72 million yuan, up 347% year-on-year, aligning with expectations. The difference in figures is primarily due to non-recurring investment income of 66 million yuan generated from the acquisition of Pioneer Fund [6][8] - The company benefits from increased trading activity among individual investors, and its growth potential continues to be validated. The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 360 million, 560 million, and 770 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 249%, 55%, and 37% [6][7] Financial Summary - For 2025, the expected operating revenue is 2,185 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 42.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected at 364 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 249% [9] - The gross margin is expected to improve to 91.1% in 2025, while the net margin is projected to reach 16.7% [9] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.6 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 94.7 times [9] Business Performance - The company's financial information services revenue was 420 million yuan in Q1 2025, up 76% year-on-year, with cash inflow from sales reaching 510 million yuan, a 93% increase year-on-year. The pre-receivable accounts (contract liabilities + non-current liabilities) stood at 870 million yuan, up 4% quarter-on-quarter and 25% year-on-year [7] - The net income from commission and interest for Q1 2025 was 97 million and 21 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year increases of 143% and 67%. The average daily trading volume in the market increased by 72% year-on-year, and the number of new accounts opened rose by 32% [8]