华阳股份（600348）：产量有望稳步增长，煤炭主业成长空间广阔

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huayang Co., Ltd. is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the coal production of Huayang Co., Ltd. is expected to grow steadily, with significant growth potential in its coal business [1][4] - The company successfully acquired coal exploration rights in the Yujiazhuang block for 6.8 billion yuan, increasing its coal resource reserves by 630 million tons [4] - The report highlights the company's commitment to shareholder returns, proposing a cash dividend of 0.309 yuan per share, resulting in a cash dividend ratio of 50.01% [4] - The valuation remains attractive with a projected A-share price-to-earnings ratio of 10.67 times for 2025, indicating a low valuation level [4][5] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 25.06 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.13% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.225 billion yuan, down 57.05% year-on-year [1][6] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.817 billion yuan, a decline of 5.53% year-on-year, with a net profit of 597 million yuan, down 31.18% year-on-year [2][6] - The company's coal production in 2024 was 38.37 million tons, a decrease of 16.41% year-on-year, while the sales volume of commercial coal was 35.54 million tons, down 13.32% year-on-year [4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported an increase in coal production to 9.936 million tons, up 16.9% year-on-year, and a sales volume of 8.754 million tons, up 5.7% year-on-year [4] Earnings Forecast - The report forecasts net profits for Huayang Co., Ltd. to be 2.221 billion yuan in 2025, 2.479 billion yuan in 2026, and 2.717 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.62, 0.69, and 0.75 yuan respectively [5][6] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 10.67, 9.56, and 8.72 times respectively, indicating a positive outlook for profitability [5][6]