EASTMONEY(300059) 东吴证券·2025-04-27 06:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a robust overall performance in Q1 2025, with total revenue increasing by 42% year-on-year to 3.5 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 39% to 2.7 billion yuan [1] - The company continues to enhance its market share in brokerage and margin trading, benefiting from an active A-share market [1][7] - The company is expected to maintain its leading position in the retail brokerage sector and leverage its AI capabilities to restructure traditional securities business [1][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 11,081 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.25%. Revenue is expected to grow to 13,383 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 15.32% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 8,193 million yuan in 2023, with a slight decline of 3.71%. It is expected to increase to 11,522 million yuan in 2025, showing a growth of 19.90% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.52 yuan in 2023, increasing to 0.73 yuan in 2025 [1] Brokerage and Margin Trading - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market increased by 70% year-on-year to 1.52 trillion yuan in Q1 2025, contributing to a 66% increase in net commission income to 2 billion yuan [1][7] - The net interest income from margin trading rose by 37% to 700 million yuan, with the margin financing balance increasing by 3.7% to 61 billion yuan [1][7] Fund Distribution and Self-operated Business - The fund distribution business showed a positive trend, with revenue increasing by 8% year-on-year to 800 million yuan in Q1 2025 [1][7] - The self-operated business reported a stable investment income of 700 million yuan, although it decreased by 14% year-on-year [1][7] Cost Control - Total operating costs increased by only 0.2% year-on-year to 1 billion yuan, with significant reductions in sales and R&D expenses [1][7] - The company effectively controlled various expenses, with sales expenses down by 16% and R&D expenses down by 13% [1][7] Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 115 billion yuan, 135 billion yuan, and 158 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 31, 27, and 23 [1][7] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on its strong customer base and the ongoing AI transformation in the financial sector [1][7]