Shanghai Ruking Technologies (301525) 开源证券·2025-04-27 06:23Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The European heat pump market is expected to continue its recovery, while automotive thermal management is emerging as a new growth point for the company [1][5] - The company reported a decline in overall performance in 2024, with a revenue of 1.297 billion yuan, down 16.02% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 168 million yuan, down 22.24% year-on-year, primarily due to a cooling heat pump market [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 351 million yuan, up 19.42% year-on-year, and a net profit of 53 million yuan, up 22.53% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend [4][5] Business Segments Summary 1. HVAC/R Sector - Revenue in 2024 was 817 million yuan, down 31.78% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.18%, down 3.19 percentage points [5] - The decline was attributed to the inventory destocking cycle in the European heat pump industry, but the long-term development logic remains unchanged [5] - New growth points include precision air conditioning, medical cold chain, and logistics cold chain applications [5] 2. New Energy Vehicle Thermal Management - Revenue in 2024 was 453 million yuan, up 47.23% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 29.04%, up 3.61 percentage points [5] - The company is expanding from cabin and battery thermal management to intelligent control of electric motors, enhancing its product line [5] 3. Servo Drive and Control Systems - Revenue in 2024 was 27 million yuan, down 31.77% year-on-year [5] - The company continues to invest in technology development and brand building in niche application industries and robotics [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 to be 270 million yuan and 389 million yuan, respectively, with an additional forecast for 2027 at 545 million yuan [4][7] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 2.86 yuan, 4.12 yuan, and 5.78 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][7] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 26.7, 18.5, and 13.2 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][7]