Sinomine(002738) 东吴证券·2025-04-27 07:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's 2024 revenue is projected at 5.364 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.80% year-on-year, with a net profit of 756.98 million yuan, down 65.72% year-on-year. The Q4 2024 revenue is expected to be 1.79 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 78% quarter-on-quarter and 56% year-on-year [7] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.54 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36% but a year-on-year decrease of 14%. The net profit for Q1 2025 is projected at 130 million yuan, down 47% quarter-on-quarter and 36% year-on-year [7] - The company is expected to face challenges in copper smelting, with a loss of 100 million yuan in Q1 2025, but losses are anticipated to decrease in Q2 2025 [7] - The lithium salt sales in Q1 2025 were affected by maintenance, resulting in a 25% quarter-on-quarter decrease, but the annual sales are expected to reach 45,000 tons [7] Financial Summary - The total revenue forecast for 2025 is 6.611 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 23.26%. The net profit is expected to be 603.68 million yuan, a decrease of 20.25% year-on-year [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is projected at 0.84 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34.47 [1][8] - The company’s operating cash flow in Q1 2025 was negative 800 million yuan, a significant decrease of 652% quarter-on-quarter [7]